What is Job Hugging?

Job hugging refers to workers staying in their current roles primarily out of fear rather than loyalty or satisfaction. The term gained popularity in 2025 as a buzzword to describe current career anxieties, particularly among workers who feel trapped in positions they find unfulfilling but are too afraid to leave.

The Data: Record Low Resignations

Historic Lows

  • Singapore’s average annual resignation rate hit 1.3% in 2024 (lowest since records began in 2006)
  • Further declined to 1.2% in Q1-Q2 2025
  • Average job tenure increased from 7.3 years (2014) to 8 years (2024)

By Worker Type

  • PMETs (Professionals, Managers, Executives, Technicians): 0.9% resignation rate
  • Clerical, sales, service workers: 2.0%
  • Production, transport, cleaners, laborers: 1.5%

Root Causes: A Perfect Storm

1. Economic Uncertainty

  • US-China trade war and rising tariffs
  • No single crisis to blame, but persistent unease
  • Unclear if/when market will improve

2. Tech Sector Transformation

  • 110,000 tech workers laid off globally in 2025 (down from 152,922 in 2024)
  • Repeated restructuring and layoffs, especially in:
    • SaaS (Software as a Service) companies
    • Big Tech (Meta, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Alphabet)
  • Singapore becoming a “hub of redundancy” for tech
  • AI threatening to displace various job functions
  • Fewer junior roles; greater need for data literacy

3. Structural Market Changes

  • Growth in PMET roles (which have lower resignation rates naturally)
  • Longer hiring cycles and more counter-offers
  • Heavy competition in job market
  • AI filtering resumes before human review (“black hole” effect)
  • “Last in, first out” fears during retrenchments

4. Compensation Complexity

Golden handcuffs keeping workers in place:

  • Biannual performance reviews with bonus opportunities
  • Shift from cash bonuses to Restricted Stock Units (RSUs)
  • Vesting periods creating incentive to stay

The Psychology Behind Job Hugging

Loss Aversion

People experience losses more intensely than equivalent gains, making them stick with comfortable (but unfulfilling) jobs rather than risk something worse.

Region-Beta Paradox

  • Workers in truly awful jobs reach breaking points and quit (finding better opportunities)
  • Workers in “tolerable but mediocre” jobs stay much longer, missing out on growth

Shifting Values

  • Move away from hustle culture toward work-life balance
  • Rise of “lazy girl jobs” concept (well-paying, low-stress roles)
  • Greater focus on upskilling vs. job-hopping
  • Terms like “quiet quitting” and “tang ping” (lying flat) gaining traction

Industry-Specific Impacts

Most Affected Sectors

  1. Technology – Repeated layoffs, AI transformation, restructuring
  2. E-commerce – Similar pressures as tech
  3. Professional Services – AI-driven role redefinition

Recruiter Observations

  • More candidates withdrawing late in hiring process
  • Increased counter-offers from current employers
  • Greater caution, especially around stability and leadership trust
  • Candidates prioritizing these over title or compensation

Hidden Costs

For Individuals

  • Skills becoming obsolete without career progression
  • Less competitive vs. job-hopping peers
  • Reduced fulfillment and engagement
  • “Quiet disengagement” from work

For Companies

  • Stagnation and lack of fresh perspectives
  • Internal echo chambers
  • Lower innovation
  • Disengaged workforce despite low turnover

Real-World Example: Mike’s Story

A Singaporean in his 30s at TikTok illustrates the dilemma:

  • Feels “extremely stretched and disengaged”
  • Witnesses quarterly layoffs and restructuring
  • Fears being “first out” as newest hire elsewhere
  • Trapped by RSU compensation structure
  • Wants to leave but feels financially irresponsible to do so
  • Planning for family makes stability crucial
  • Paradoxically hopes for layoff as “blessing” to force change

Comparison to Past Crises

Previous patterns (2008 crisis, COVID-19):

  • Clear crisis → resignation dip → quick rebound
  • “Great resignation” and “revenge hiring” followed

Current situation (2024-2025):

  • No single identifiable crisis
  • Two years of slow (not catastrophic) decline
  • No clear end or rebound in sight
  • Feels both psychological and structural

Expert Perspectives

What Makes This Different

“The hesitation feels psychological and structural. After repeated layoffs, reorganizations and AI, candidates have re-weighted stability and leadership trust over title or compensation.” – Jung Foo, Pullman Morrison

“What used to be a gold mine is now a race to retrenchment” – Tasha Enright, Algomarketing

“There is no longer a ‘safe’ industry” – Prof. Chua Yeow Hwee, NTU

Future Outlook

Positive Developments

  • Greater emphasis on upskilling (SkillsFuture impact)
  • Shift toward lasting job satisfaction over quick progression
  • More thoughtful career decisions

Concerns

  • Prolonged market uncertainty
  • Continued AI disruption
  • Skills obsolescence for those who stay too long
  • Generational impact on future workers

Key Takeaway

Job hugging represents a fundamental shift from the “company lifer” era. While both involve long tenure, today’s phenomenon stems from fear and pragmatism rather than loyalty. It reflects a labor market where workers feel they have more to lose by leaving than by staying in unsatisfying roles—a calculus driven by economic uncertainty, technological disruption, and the psychological weight of repeated industry upheavals.


Analysis based on article published November 15, 2025, in The Straits Times

Job Hugging in Singapore: Case Study & Market Outlook

Executive Summary

Singapore’s labor market is experiencing an unprecedented shift characterized by record-low resignation rates and a phenomenon dubbed “job hugging”—where workers remain in positions primarily due to fear rather than satisfaction. This case study examines the current state, contributing factors, and future implications for Singapore’s workforce and economy.


PART I: CASE STUDY

Market Context & Key Metrics

Resignation Rate Trends

  • 2024: 1.3% (historic low since 2006)
  • Q1-Q2 2025: 1.2% (further decline)
  • Average job tenure: 8 years (up from 7.3 years in 2014)

Comparative Analysis by Worker Category





Comparative Analysis by Worker Category
Worker TypeResignation Rate
PMETs0.009
Clerical/Sales/Service0.02
Production/Transport/Labor0.015

Case Profile: “Mike” – Tech Sector Worker

Background

  • Age: 30s, Singaporean
  • Company: TikTok
  • Tenure: 2+ years
  • Role: Mid-career professional in tech

Situation Analysis

Initial Motivation

  • Career pivot into high-paying tech role
  • Opportunity for professional growth
  • Industry prestige

Current Reality

  • Quarterly layoffs and restructuring
  • Extreme work stretch and disengagement
  • Golden handcuffs: Compensation shifted from cash bonuses to Restricted Stock Units (RSUs)
  • Vesting periods creating exit barriers

Decision-Making Calculus

STAY factors:
+ RSU vesting periods
+ Biannual performance review bonuses
+ Fear of "last in, first out" at new company
+ Need for financial security (planning family)

LEAVE factors:
+ Severe disengagement
+ Intolerable work environment
+ Quarterly restructuring anxiety
+ Skills stagnation risk

RESULT: Paralyzed by fear, hoping for layoff as "blessing"

Psychological Profile

  • Loss aversion: Values avoiding potential loss more than gaining better opportunity
  • Region-beta paradox: Situation tolerable enough to endure, not bad enough to force action
  • Risk recalibration: Anticipates 2026 downturn, prioritizing security over fulfillment

Sector-Specific Analysis

Technology Sector (Most Affected)

Global Context

  • 2025 (to mid-Nov): 110,000 tech workers laid off globally
  • 2024: 152,922 layoffs
  • 2023: 264,220 layoffs
  • Trend: Declining but still significant disruption

Singapore-Specific Factors

  1. Regional Hub Dynamics
    • Singapore positioning as “hub of redundancy” for tech
    • Regional leadership roles harder to secure and maintain
    • Cost-cutting prioritizing automation and AI investments
  2. Structural Changes
    • Fewer junior-level positions
    • Increased data literacy requirements across roles
    • Middle management particularly vulnerable
    • HR and marketing functions heavily impacted
  3. Industry Transformation
    • SaaS business model under pressure
    • Big Tech (Meta, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Alphabet) restructuring
    • Shift from headcount growth to efficiency
    • AI-driven role redefinition

Recruitment & Hiring Market

Observable Patterns (from recruitment professionals with 13-20 years experience)

Process Changes

  • Longer decision cycles
  • Increased counter-offers from current employers
  • More candidates withdrawing late-stage
  • “Eleventh hour” pullouts citing retrenchment fears

Candidate Behavior Shifts

  • Prioritizing stability and leadership trust over compensation
  • Greater scrutiny of company financial health
  • Multiple rounds of consideration before accepting
  • Heightened due diligence on company culture

Market Sentiment

“The hesitation feels psychological and structural. After repeated layoffs, reorganizations and AI, candidates have re-weighted stability and leadership trust over title or compensation.” — Jung Foo, Partner, Pullman Morrison

Structural Market Transformations

1. Economic Composition Shift

  • PMET workforce growth outpacing non-PMET growth
  • PMETs naturally have lower turnover rates
  • Creates statistical downward pressure on overall resignation rates

2. Technology-Driven Disruption

AI Impact on Job Market

  • Resume screening automation creating “black hole” effect
  • Candidates feel filtered out before human review
  • Threatens displacement across multiple job functions
  • Employers using AI for candidate evaluation
  • Creates asymmetry: humans vs. algorithms

Application Example

  • LinkedIn job posting with errors and no description: 100+ applications
  • Demonstrates desperation and lack of alternatives
  • Viral on Reddit with 1,000+ upvotes, gloomy commentary

3. Compensation Structure Evolution

Shift from Cash to Equity

  • Traditional: Cash bonuses, immediate liquidity
  • Current: RSUs with vesting periods
  • Impact: Creates multi-year retention mechanism
  • Effect: “Golden handcuffs” preventing mobility

Cultural & Behavioral Shifts

From Hustle Culture to Preservation Mode

2023: “Lazy Girl Jobs” Trend

  • TikTok-originated term
  • White-collar, well-paying, low-stress roles
  • Rejection of hustle culture
  • Singaporeans actively seeking such positions

Example sought-after role:

“HR-cum-accounts position with boutique investment firm… $5,000 to sit in empty office… everyone else WFH or out for sales”

Related Concepts

  • Quiet quitting: Doing minimum required work
  • Tang ping (lying flat): Chinese term for opting out of rat race
  • Noted by PM Lawrence Wong (Sept 24, 2024) as concerning trend

Psychological Drivers

1. Loss Aversion

  • Humans experience losses 2x more intensely than equivalent gains
  • Workers overweight risk of bad outcome from job change
  • Underweight potential upside of new opportunity

2. Region-Beta Paradox

  • Truly awful situations → breaking point → forced change → often better outcomes
  • Mediocre situations → prolonged endurance → missed opportunities → skills atrophy

3. Safety Recalibration

“There is no longer a ‘safe’ industry” — Prof. Chua Yeow Hwee, NTU

  • Retrenchments across all levels and specializations
  • Elimination of traditional “secure” sectors
  • Heightened anxiety across workforce

Organizational Impact Analysis

For Employers (Negative)

Stagnation Risks

  • Reduced fresh perspectives and innovation
  • Internal echo chambers forming
  • Quiet disengagement despite retention
  • Lower productivity from unmotivated staff

Positive Retention Misinterpretation

  • Low turnover may mask underlying problems
  • Retention from fear ≠ engagement
  • Potential for sudden mass exodus when market improves

For Employers (Positive)

  • Better institutional knowledge retention
  • Lower recruitment and training costs
  • More experienced workforce
  • Reduced disruption from turnover

For Individual Workers (Negative)

  • Skills obsolescence without career progression
  • Reduced marketability vs. job-hopping peers
  • Missed opportunities for growth
  • Psychological toll of unfulfilling work
  • Career stagnation affecting long-term prospects

For Individual Workers (Positive)

  • Job security during uncertain times
  • Opportunity for deep skill development
  • Relationship building within organization
  • Predictable income and benefits

PART II: OUTLOOK FOR SINGAPORE

Short-Term Forecast (2025-2026)

Economic Headwinds

Global Factors

  • US-China trade tensions continuing
  • Rising tariff environment
  • Geopolitical uncertainty
  • Global economic slowdown concerns

Tech Sector Trajectory

  • Continued but moderating layoffs (declining from 2023 peak)
  • Focus on AI and automation investment
  • Efficiency over growth mindset persisting
  • Singapore’s role as regional cost-optimization center

Labor Market Predictions

  • Resignation rates likely to remain suppressed through 2025-2026
  • Job hugging behavior intensifying before any relief
  • Hiring cycles remaining extended
  • Counter-offer culture strengthening

Expected Worker Behaviors

Risk-Averse Positioning

  1. Delayed career moves until market clarity emerges
  2. Emphasis on skill acquisition over job hopping
  3. Greater acceptance of lateral moves for stability
  4. Increased interest in public sector roles
  5. Side income streams as hedge against job loss

Generational Divergence

  • Gen Z/Early career: Less trapped, more willing to experiment
  • Millennials (30s-40s): Most affected, peak financial responsibilities
  • Gen X/Late career: More established, less vulnerable but cautious

Medium-Term Outlook (2027-2029)

Potential Scenario A: Market Normalization

Triggers

  • Resolution of major geopolitical tensions
  • AI integration stabilizing job market
  • Economic growth resumption
  • Clear industry direction emerging

Outcomes

  • Resignation rates return to 1.8-2.2% range
  • Pent-up mobility creating “catch-up” job hopping
  • Recruitment market rebounds
  • Wage pressure increases

Implications

  • Companies face retention challenges
  • Workers with stagnant skills struggle
  • Wage inflation in high-demand areas
  • Brain drain risks for Singapore

Potential Scenario B: Prolonged Stagnation

Triggers

  • Continued geopolitical uncertainty
  • AI displacement accelerating
  • No clear economic catalyst
  • Structural unemployment concerns

Outcomes

  • Job hugging becomes entrenched behavior
  • Resignation rates stay below 1.5%
  • Skills gap widens
  • Innovation declines

Implications

  • Economic competitiveness concerns
  • Talent pipeline problems
  • Reduced entrepreneurship
  • Social mobility challenges

Potential Scenario C: Structural Transformation

Triggers

  • AI fundamentally reshaping work
  • Gig/contract economy expanding
  • Traditional employment model disruption
  • Policy interventions (e.g., universal basic income discussions)

Outcomes

  • Traditional resignation metrics become less relevant
  • Portfolio careers becoming norm
  • Fluid work arrangements
  • New forms of job security

Implications

  • Need for policy adaptation
  • Social safety net redesign
  • Education system overhaul
  • Redefinition of career success

Sector-Specific Outlooks

Technology

Near-term: Continued pressure, selective hiring, AI focus Medium-term: Stabilization as AI integration matures, new roles emerge Long-term: Transformation to AI-augmented workforce, smaller teams

Financial Services

Near-term: Conservative hiring, digital transformation focus Medium-term: Recovery dependent on global economic conditions Long-term: Hybrid human-AI operations, specialized roles premium

Healthcare

Near-term: Relative stability, aging population driving demand Medium-term: Growth sector, but automation increasing Long-term: Most resilient to job hugging trends

Professional Services

Near-term: Client caution affecting hiring Medium-term: AI disruption in routine tasks Long-term: High-value advisory work remains human-dominated

Manufacturing & Logistics

Near-term: Automation continuing, steady but slow growth Medium-term: Smart manufacturing creating new skill requirements Long-term: Significant role transformation

Policy & Institutional Responses

Government Initiatives

Current Measures

  • SkillsFuture programs showing impact
  • Focus on upskilling over turnover
  • Support for career transitions
  • Industry transformation maps

Recommended Enhancements

  1. Career Transition Support
    • Subsidized career coaching
    • Mid-career internship programs
    • Risk-sharing with employers for switchers
  2. Skills Development
    • AI literacy programs across sectors
    • Micro-credentials for rapid reskilling
    • Industry-academia partnerships
  3. Labor Market Flexibility
    • Trial employment arrangements
    • Portable benefits systems
    • Gig worker protections

Corporate Best Practices

For Managing Job Huggers

  1. Engagement Programs
    • Regular check-ins on satisfaction
    • Career development conversations
    • Internal mobility opportunities
    • Skills development funding
  2. Retention Strategies
    • Differentiate engaged vs. fearful retention
    • Address disengagement proactively
    • Create psychological safety
    • Transparent communication about company health
  3. Future-Proofing
    • Cross-functional skill development
    • AI collaboration training
    • Leadership development at all levels
    • Innovation culture despite stability focus

Strategic Recommendations

For Job Seekers

Immediate Actions (2025-2026)

  1. Upskill aggressively in AI, data literacy
  2. Build financial runway (6-12 months expenses)
  3. Develop side projects/portfolio
  4. Network actively despite not job hunting
  5. Document achievements for future moves

Medium-term Positioning (2027-2029)

  1. Cultivate transferable skills over specialized knowledge
  2. Build personal brand and visibility
  3. Consider strategic moves when market stabilizes
  4. Develop T-shaped expertise (broad + deep)
  5. Stay informed on industry transformations

For Employers

Immediate Focus

  1. Diagnose engagement vs. fear-based retention
  2. Invest in genuine development opportunities
  3. Create transparent communication channels
  4. Address burnout and overwork proactively
  5. Prepare for eventual mobility increase

Strategic Imperatives

  1. Build culture that attracts during uncertainty
  2. Differentiate on stability AND growth
  3. Prepare for AI-augmented workforce
  4. Create retention based on value, not fear
  5. Develop succession planning for all levels

Wildcards & Uncertainties

Positive Disruptions

  • Major technological breakthrough creating new job categories
  • Singapore policy innovation (e.g., job rotation schemes)
  • Regional economic boom
  • Successful AI-human collaboration models

Negative Disruptions

  • Major economic crisis (worse than 2008)
  • Accelerated AI displacement exceeding new job creation
  • Geopolitical shocks affecting Singapore’s hub status
  • Mass exodus of discouraged talent

Long-Term Implications (2030+)

Labor Market Evolution

  • Traditional career paths obsolete
  • Continuous learning as permanent state
  • Portfolio careers becoming standard
  • Work-life integration over balance

Singapore’s Competitive Position

Strengths to Leverage

  • Strong education system adaptable to change
  • Government capacity for policy innovation
  • Regional hub status
  • Multicultural workforce

Vulnerabilities to Address

  • Risk aversion limiting innovation
  • Talent retention in competitive global market
  • Aging population pressures
  • Cost of living vs. career mobility trade-offs

Social Contract Implications

  • Expectation of employer responsibility evolving
  • Government role in career security expanding
  • Individual vs. collective responsibility debates
  • Work’s role in identity and purpose shifting

Conclusion

Job hugging represents more than a temporary labor market phenomenon—it signals a fundamental recalibration of risk, reward, and career strategy in Singapore’s workforce. While resignation rates may eventually normalize, the psychological imprint of this period will shape worker expectations and behaviors for years to come.

Key Takeaways:

  1. This is structural, not cyclical: Unlike past crises with clear causes and rebounds, current conditions reflect deep transformation requiring adaptive strategies, not patience.
  2. Fear is rational, but costly: Workers’ risk aversion is understandable given market conditions, but prolonged job hugging carries significant personal and economic costs.
  3. No industry is immune: The elimination of “safe” sectors requires universal adaptability and continuous learning across all fields.
  4. Policy and culture must evolve: Singapore’s continued competitiveness depends on creating safety nets that enable mobility rather than encouraging paralysis.
  5. The future favors adaptability: Long-term success—for individuals, companies, and Singapore—will depend on building resilience and flexibility rather than seeking illusory security.

The job hugging era will eventually end, but the workers and organizations that merely wait it out risk being left behind when mobility resumes. The opportunity lies in using this period of stability to build capabilities, relationships, and strategies that will thrive in the next phase of Singapore’s economic evolution.


Case study compiled from The Straits Times report published November 15, 2025, with analysis and projections developed for strategic planning purposes.